Will IREDA’s Recent Rally Sustain? Analysts Remain Cautious Despite Strong Fundamentals

Will IREDA’s Recent Rally Sustain? Analysts Remain Cautious Despite Strong Fundamentals

Shares of the Indian Renewable Energy Development Agency (IREDA) Ltd have continued their upward momentum, gaining for the second straight session on Monday. The stock rose 3% intraday, hitting a high of ₹178.50 before settling 1.85% higher at ₹176.50. This marks a 5.82% gain over two sessions. However, it’s important to note that despite this short-term rally, IREDA shares are still down 20.42% in calendar year 2025.

Market experts are viewing the ₹180–₹185 range as a significant resistance zone. A breakout above this level is deemed crucial for any further uptrend. According to Gaurav Sharma, Associate Vice-President and Head of Research at Globe Capital, only a decisive close above ₹180 can set the stage for the stock to potentially climb up to ₹230.

Meanwhile, Kunal Kamble, Senior Technical Analyst at Bonanza, recommends a “sell-on-rally” approach around the ₹170 level, warning of strong resistance near ₹185. Similarly, Shitij Gandhi of SMC Global Securities predicts the stock may continue to oscillate in a broad range between ₹140 and ₹180 in the near term.

Despite the technical resistance, IREDA’s fundamentals remain robust. The state-run renewable energy financier reported a 48.66% year-on-year (YoY) increase in consolidated net profit for the March 2025 quarter, reaching ₹501.55 crore compared to ₹337.39 crore in the same period last year. Revenue from operations also surged 36.93% YoY, climbing to ₹1,905.06 crore.

Further bolstering its financial performance, IREDA’s loan book witnessed a 28% YoY growth in FY25, rising to ₹76,250 crore from ₹59,698 crore in FY24. This expansion reflects strong demand for renewable energy financing and underlines the company’s growing relevance in the sector.

IREDA, a ‘Navratna’ Public Sector Undertaking under the Ministry of New and Renewable Energy, holds a critical position in India’s green energy ambitions. The government continues to hold a 75% stake in the firm, which provides a wide range of fund- and non-fund-based financial services for renewable energy projects — from inception to post-completion — including equipment manufacturing and transmission infrastructure.

While the fundamentals paint a promising picture, analysts advise investors to be cautious in the short term, watching for a technical breakout before betting on sustained upside.

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